This game could be low scoring as Francisco Liriano (3-5, 3.25 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-27) go up against Carlos Rodon (2-0, 2.66 ERA) and the Chicago White Sox (28-33) in the first of a two-game series at PNC Park. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and will air on CSN-CHI and ROOT-PIT.
Liriano is 5-4 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.45 WHIP against the White Sox in his career. Starling Marte (.273, 33 Rs, 12 HRs, 43 RBIs, 11 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 5. The White Sox were victorious over the Astros 4-2 the last time Rodon pitched. He went 6.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out five and walking two.
Pittsburgh is a -172 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Pirates have a winning record of 28-15 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +232. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (6-2). American League games have been tough for the Pirates. Pittsburgh has only averaged 2.6 runs per game compared to its 4.1 season average. The Pirates are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 46 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Pittsburgh's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the AL. The Pirates have a team ERA of 2.90, one of the lowest in their league. The Pirates are fourth in the NL in hits allowed with just 8.4 per game.
Switching gears, the White Sox come into this game with a weak win percentage of .375 when playing as the underdog (12-20) and an overall money line of -583. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record. When it comes to scoring runs, the White Sox have performed much better than normal against teams from the NL. During those games, they averaged five runs per game, above their 3.7 season average.
This game will feature Rodon (LHP) on the mound against the Pirates, who have a 4-4 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the White Sox will be the left-hander Liriano. They sport a 5-6 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
In their last game, the White Sox lost by a margin of one run. The Pirates are 10-11 in one-run games. The White Sox have an 11-9 record in close games.
Pittsburgh has won 42% (10-14) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 50% (12-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Pirates are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The White Sox have a 6-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
It looks like the Pirates have a slight leg up on the White Sox, as the Pirates have won their last four games while the White Sox have lost their last three.
With records of 25-5 and 20-4 respectively, the Pirates and the White Sox both do well when they outhit opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Chicago has earned 221 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 19th with 250 runs.
Pittsburgh and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Pittsburgh sits at 22nd with 157 this season and Chicago ranks 28th with 141.
The Pirates are 21-14 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The White Sox are 16-15 when they hit at least one homer.