This game could be low scoring as Wei-Yin Chen (2-4, 3.21 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (31-31) go up against Aaron Harang (4-7, 3.04 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-42) in the first of a two-game series at Camden Yards. The Phillies go into this series looking to snap a six-game losing streak. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and will air on CSN-PHI and MASN.
In his last start, Chen pitched 5.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out five and walking one in a 5-2 victory over the Red Sox. Adam Jones (.305, 34 Rs, 10 HRs, 33 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. In his career against the Orioles, Harang is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA. He meets a solid Baltimore offense that's batting .257. Jeff Francoeur (.271, 13 Rs, 4 HRs, 21 RBIs) has been doing well offensively for the Phillies, going 2 for 5 yesterday.
Baltimore is a -165 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Orioles perform well as a favorite with a 19-12 record and have an overall money line of +114. They have SU record of 8-2 and are unbeaten as the favorite (3-0) over their last 10 games. The Orioles have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The most recent 10 game stretch for Baltimore's pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Baltimore's opponents are averaging 2.6 runs per game, below their season average of 4.0. The Orioles are fifth in the AL in hits allowed with just 8.1 per game.
Switching gears, the Phillies come into this game with a weak win percentage of .345 when playing as the underdog (19-36) and an overall money line of -1,508. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 2-8 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-8 record. The Phillies have not played up to par on offense against the AL. Philadelphia has averaged 2.0 runs per game, less than their 3.1 season average. Philadelphia's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play competition from the AL. They've allowed an average of 5.3 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.6.
This game will feature Harang (RHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 23-24 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Phillies will be the left-hander Chen. Southpaw starters have been a big issue for them as they sport records of 1-5 on the road and 4-8 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Phillies lost by a margin of one run. The Orioles are 10-9 in one-run games. The Phillies have an 8-12 record in close games.
When the Orioles play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Phillies are 2-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 14-6. The Orioles have a 24-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 197 this season. Baltimore ranks 11th with 265 runs.
Baltimore and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Baltimore sits at 24th with 149 this season and Philadelphia ranks 27th with 142.
The Orioles are 25-15 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 12-14 when they hit at least one homer.