Williams Perez (2-0, 2.70 ERA) starts for the Atlanta Braves (30-33) as they square off against Rick Porcello (4-6, 5.26 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (27-37) in the first of a two-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox come into this series hoping to snap a six-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and can be seen on SPSO, NESN and ESPN.

Porcello pitched 5.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs and striking out five in a 5-2 defeat to the Orioles. Dustin Pedroia (.309, 31 Rs, 9 HRs, 27 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. Perez went 1.0 innings, surrendering zero runs in a 5-3 defeat to the Mets in his last outing. Freddie Freeman (.306, 41 Rs, 12 HRs, 40 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.

Boston is a -132 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -1,564 and a record as the favorite of 18-24. In interleague play, they have had a solid season, earning 3-2 and 4-2 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Red Sox have seen an uptick in scoring against teams in the NL, averaging 6.3 runs per game. They average 3.8 runs per game on the season. Boston is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game.

In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 21-26 record and an overall money line of +289. Atlanta has put in a great performance against American League opponents, coming in with a nice record SU ({betdsi.at.al.su_record}) and as the underdog (3-1). Atlanta is excellent at not striking out on the road with an NL-low 6.9 per game.

The Red Sox have a 19-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Perez takes the mound. Porcello (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 26-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over


Atlanta has won 37% (13-22) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Boston has won 43% (12-16) of its games when taking a late lead.

The Red Sox managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Braves who are coming in with an 11-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.

When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-31. The Braves have a 5-20 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 29th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 41 this season. Boston ranks 12th with 60 home runs.

Boston and Atlanta both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Boston sits at ninth with 8.40 hits per game and Atlanta ranks seventh with 8.76.

Boston and Atlanta both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Boston sits at 19th with an OPS of .692 and Atlanta ranks 18th with an OPS of .700.

The Braves are 10-24 when they allow at least one home run. The Red Sox perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 11-30 record.