Masahiro Tanaka (4-1, 2.48 ERA) gets the start for the New York Yankees (34-28) as they go up against Tom Koehler (4-4, 4.00 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (27-37) in the first of a two-game series at Marlins Park. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and will air on PIX11 and FSN-FL.
In his most recent outing, Koehler pitched 6.2 innings, giving up five runs (one unearned), striking out seven and walking two in a 7-2 loss to the Blue Jays. Dee Gordon (.354, 33 Rs, 16 RBIs, 22 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5. The Yankees were victorious the last time Tanaka pitched. He pitched well, going, going 7.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out six in a 6-1 victory over the Nationals. Mark Teixeira (.256, 32 Rs, 17 HRs, 47 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Miami, a +125 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Marlins are 13-19 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -1,066. They stand winless as the underdog with a 0-3 record, though they have a more impressive record SU (3-6) against the AL. The Marlins rank fourth in the NL in hits with 8.9 per game. Miami's pitchers struggle against teams that play in the American League. The Marlins have given up an average of 5.7 runs to opponents from the AL, well over their defense's season average of 4.2.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Yankees come into this game with a win percentage of .581 when playing as the favorite (18-13) and an overall money line of +209. Against NL opponents, they are 3-4 SU, but have a 3-2 record when they were the favorite. The Yankees are known for their power, smashing 78 home runs. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the New York batters, who rank fifth in the AL with 7.2 strikeouts per road game. Switching gears to New York's pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 walks per game, third-best in the AL.
This game will feature Tanaka (RHP) on the mound against the Marlins, who have a 19-31 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Yankees will be the right-hander Koehler. They sport a 24-21 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
Miami has won 37% (11-19) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 43% (13-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 9-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-23. The Yankees have a 6-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 20th in home runs, Miami has hit 52 this season. New York ranks fourth with 78 home runs.
Miami and New York both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Miami sits at fourth with 8.92 hits per game and New York ranks fifth with 8.64.
Ranking 20th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.691). New York ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .736.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 17-22. When the Marlins allow one or more homers, they have a 12-23 record.