Noah Syndergaard (2-4, 4.15 ERA) and Mark Buehrle (7-4, 4.25 ERA) start in the first of a two-game series between the New York Mets (34-30) and the Toronto Blue Jays (34-30) at Citi Field. The Blue Jays come into this series hoping to extend an 11-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and can be seen on RSN and SNY.
Syndergaard pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out two and walking one in a 5-0 defeat to the Giants. Lucas Duda (.278, 35 Rs, 9 HRs, 28 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs. When pitching against the Mets, Buehrle is 0-3 with a 4.39 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 13 strikeouts. Chris Colabello (.343, 24 Rs, 4 HRs, 22 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with three runs and one RBI.
New York is a -130 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +125 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 27-9. In interleague play, they are unbeaten as the favorite (2-0), but have an SU record of 3-2. The Mets are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.20 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Toronto has a 13-18 record and an overall money line of +128. They have been a force to be reckoned with over their last 10 games. They were unbeaten, managing a perfect record both SU and as the underdog. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is the best in the AL. The Blue Jays are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 8.9 hits per road game. The Blue Jays allow 4.4 runs per game, but does better whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.4 against teams from the NL.
The Mets have a 5-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Buehrle takes the mound. Syndergaard (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 24-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 19-12, while New York is 16-12.
The Mets are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 10 runs. The Blue Jays have a 1-2 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 4-22. The Mets have a 10-24 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks in the top half of the league at 14th when it comes to home runs, hitting 58 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 79.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.98 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 9.03.
Toronto tops the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .784 this season. New York ranks near the bottom at 23rd with an OPS of .688.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 22-23. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 14-22 record.