Dallas Keuchel (7-2, 1.90 ERA) and the Houston Astros (36-28) take on Chad Bettis (2-1, 3.05 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (28-34) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a two-game series at Minute Maid Park. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and can be seen on ROOT-RM and ROOT-SW.
Keuchel pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking two in a 4-2 defeat to the White Sox. George Springer (.259, 30 Rs, 8 HRs, 21 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two runs. Bettis went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking two in a 4-2 defeat to the Cardinals in his last outing. Nolan Arenado (.271, 32 Rs, 16 HRs, 49 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Houston is a -178 favorite against Colorado and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Astros have an overall money line of +625 and a record as the favorite of 16-14. Houston is a disappointing 1-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Astros have seen an uptick in scoring against teams in the NL, averaging 7.0 runs per game. They average 4.3 runs per game on the season. The Astros lead the MLB in home runs with 85. Houston is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 50 bases. As for the Houston defense and pitching staff, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Astros. The 3.7 runs that Houston's pitchers allow per home game makes them the fifth-ranked AL staff at home. The Astros are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.17 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Colorado has a 23-23 record and an overall money line of -260. Colorado has had a tough time against teams in the AL, coming in winless. They have a 0-2 record as the underdog and 0-2 SU. Offensively, the Rockies have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.3 runs per game by averaging 1.5 in those contests. The Rockies have a dynamic offense, ranking fifth in the league with 191 extra base hits. The Rockies allow 4.9 runs per game, but does better whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.5 against teams from the AL.
The Astros have a 23-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Bettis takes the mound. Keuchel (LHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have a inferior 3-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
The Astros won their last game by a 13-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Rockies are 1-2. The Astros are 3-0 in blowouts this season.
For the eighth time this season, the Rockies registered at least two errors in a game.
The Astros are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Rockies are 1-4 in such matchups.
The Rockies managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Astros who are heading in with an 11-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 23-8. The Rockies have a 21-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top 10 of the league based on total runs this season, Houston ranks seventh with 273 runs and Colorado is 10th with 269.
Ranking 29th, Colorado is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 134 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at fifth with 204.
The Astros are 28-16 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rockies are 25-17 when they hit at least one homer.