Michael Wacha (8-2, 2.45 ERA) is on the hill for the St. Louis Cardinals (41-21) as they square off against Trevor May (4-4, 4.16 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (34-28) in the first of a two-game series at Busch Stadium. Action begins at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and can be seen on FSN-N and FSN-MW.
Wacha pitched 6.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out 10 and walking one in a 4-3 defeat to the Rockies. Matt Carpenter (.290, 39 Rs, 8 HRs, 32 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 Saturday with one RBI. May went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking three in a 2-0 defeat to the Royals in his last outing. Brian Dozier (.265, 51 Rs, 13 HRs, 31 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Twins, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when St. Louis, a big -190 favorite, takes on Minnesota. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Cardinals have recorded an overall money line of +1,779 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 32-11. Against the AL, they have a 4-2 record when they were the favorite and 6-5 SU. The Cardinals have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 3.1 runs per game. They average 4.0 runs per game on the season. The Cardinals are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.9 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 2.65. The Cardinals are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.6 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 28-22 record and an overall money line of +1,264. Minnesota is undefeated as the underdog against interleague opponents with a 3-0 record and 3-2 SU.
The Cardinals have a great 21-4 record at home (34-14 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when May takes the mound. Wacha (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 19-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Twins won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Cardinals are 12-10. The Twins are 12-7 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 14-6, while Minnesota is 9-12.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 16-22 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 6-26. The Cardinals have a 9-14 record when opponents outhit them.
St. Louis and Minnesota both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. St. Louis sits at 26th with 47 home runs this season and Minnesota ranks 25th with 48.
Ranking 10th, Minnesota is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.30 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.90.
Ranking 24th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.684). St. Louis ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .720.
The Twins are 19-22 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 17-14 when they allow at least one homer.