In the first of a two-game series between the Texas Rangers (33-30) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (33-30) at Globe Life Park in Arlington, Yovani Gallardo (5-6, 3.45 ERA) and Carlos Frias (4-3, 3.86 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and will air on SportsNet LA and FSN-SW.
Gallardo has a 5.23 ERA and a 2-4 record in his career against the Dodgers, and faces a strong Los Angeles offense that's hitting .258 on the year. Mitch Moreland (.308, 19 Rs, 8 HRs, 30 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Dodgers were unsuccessful the last time Frias pitched. He pitched well, going, going 6.2 innings, giving up one run, striking out three and walking one in a 3-1 loss to the Diamondbacks. Adrian Gonzalez (.313, 37 Rs, 11 HRs, 43 RBIs) has been doing well offensively for the Dodgers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with three RBIs.
Texas is a small underdog (+105) and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Rangers are 28-26 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +1,325. They have an SU record of 1-1 against the NL and a 1-1 record when they were the underdog in those games. Texas's offense has been playing lights out against teams in the NL, putting up an average of 6.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.6. Texas's pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 3.3 during that span, compared to its 4.4 season average.
On the other side, the Dodgers have a record of 33-23 when they are favored and are +five overall with the money line. Interleague opponents have not been able to keep up with Los Angeles. The Dodgers have managed to go undefeated this season with a record of 2-0 when ranked as the favorite. The Dodgers rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Los Angeles is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 201 extra base hits. Los Angeles has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an NL-best 3.5 walks per game. Playing competition from the AL really brings the worst out of the Los Angeles pitchers. They allow 4.0 runs per game against teams in the AL, which is higher than their season average of 3.5. They have a WHIP of 1.19, second best in the MLB. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 8.5 strikeouts per game.
The Rangers will take on a right-hander (Frias) in this game and have a 23-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Dodgers will be the right-hander Gallardo. They sport a 33-20 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
Texas has won 46% (13-15) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 58% (15-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Texas batters brought in a solid nine hits last game. Los Angeles has a record of 14-15 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the Rangers are 5-25. The Dodgers have a 7-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking ninth in home runs, Texas has hit 66 this season. Los Angeles ranks second with 81 home runs.
Texas and Los Angeles both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Texas sits at sixth with 8.61 hits per game and Los Angeles ranks eighth with 8.48.
Ranking eighth, Texas is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.726). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .773.
The Dodgers are 16-18 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Rangers are 15-25 when they allow at least one homer.