Anibal Sanchez (4-7, 5.16 ERA) and Jon Moscot (1-1, 4.91 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a two-game series between the Detroit Tigers (33-30) and the Cincinnati Reds (28-34) at Comerica Park. Action begins at 7:08 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and can be seen on FSN-OH and FSN-DET.
Sanchez pitched 7.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 6-0 win over the Cubs. Miguel Cabrera (.341, 36 Rs, 14 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with three runs, one home run, and one RBI. Moscot went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking two in a 5-2 win over the Phillies in his most recent start. Joey Votto (.298, 34 Rs, 14 HRs, 36 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday.
Detroit is a -170 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Tigers have an overall money line of +35 and a record as the favorite of 21-17. Detroit is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Tigers have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the NL, averaging 3.5 runs per game. They average 4.2 runs per game on the season. Detroit is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 49 bases. Detroit's pitchers put it all together when National League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.5 against NL teams, compared to its 4.1 season average.
In the other locker room, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -728 and a disappointing record of 11-24 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record, and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, the Reds have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 2.8 in those contests. The Reds can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fifth in the league with 74 home runs. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 65 stolen bases. The Reds allow 4.3 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.0 against teams from the AL.
The Tigers have a 23-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Moscot takes the mound. Sanchez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 21-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Reds lost by a margin of one run. The Tigers are 11-10 in one-run games. The Reds have a 9-12 record in close games.
Cincinnati has won 40% (10-15) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 58% (15-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Tigers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Reds have a 2-8 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 2-20. The Reds have a 6-24 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 50 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top five at fifth with 74.
Detroit ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.39 per game this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 12th with 8.26.
Ranking 14th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.718). Detroit ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .750.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 13-26, well-matched with the Tigers who are 12-21 when allowing at least one homer.