Chris Tillman (4-7, 5.68 ERA) and Jerome Williams (3-6, 5.71 ERA) take the hill in the second of a two-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (32-31) and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-43) at Camden Yards. The Phillies lost the last game 4-0, continuing a seven-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and MASN.
Tillman pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out two and walking two in a 6-5 win over the Red Sox. Williams is 4-2 with a 4.71 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He takes on a good Baltimore offense that's batting .256.
This one isn't expected to be close when Baltimore, a big -180 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of -4 and a record as the favorite of 19-13. Baltimore is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the AL in offense with 4.3 runs per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Orioles, who have a team ERA of only 3.75. The Orioles are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.4 walks per game to their opponents this season.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,608 and a disappointing record of 19-37 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-9 record, and a 1-9 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 3.1 runs per game by averaging 2.0 in those contests. The Phillies allow 4.5 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.3 against teams from the AL.
The Orioles have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Orioles have a 23-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Williams takes the mound. Tillman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 6-21 and 18-34, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Under
Baltimore earned its fourth shutout of the season in its last game. Philadelphia has been shut out eight times this season.
When the Orioles play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Phillies are 2-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 4-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 14-6. The Orioles have a 25-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 197 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top half at 11th with 269.
Baltimore and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Baltimore sits at 23rd with 152 this season and Philadelphia ranks 27th with 143.
The Orioles are 26-15 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 12-14 when they hit at least one homer.