Julio Teheran (4-2, 4.78 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (31-33) are in Boston to meet Wade Miley (5-6, 5.07 ERA) and the Red Sox (27-38) in a matchup that has the potential for plenty of offense. This is the second of a two-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox lost the last game 4-2, extending a seven-game losing streak. The game starts at 4:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and will air on SPSO and NESN.
Miley has a 5.92 ERA and a 1-2 record in his career against the Braves, and is up against a strong Atlanta offense that's hitting .260 on the year. Dustin Pedroia (.313, 31 Rs, 9 HRs, 27 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3. The Braves were unsuccessful the last time Teheran pitched. He went, going 7.0 innings, allowing three runs (one unearned), striking out seven and walking three in a 6-4 loss to the Padres. Freddie Freeman (.305, 42 Rs, 12 HRs, 40 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
Boston is a -145 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have an 18-25 record and overall money line at -1,673. They have performed well against the National League to earn an SU record of 4-2 and a 3-2 record when they were the favorite. Boston has averaged 6.3 runs per game during interleague play, higher than its season average of 3.9. The Red Sox typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.3 walks per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Braves come into this game with a win percentage of .438 when playing as the underdog (21-27) and an overall money line of +189. Against AL opponents, they are 3-2 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 3-1 record. The Braves rank fifth in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Atlanta is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.0 hits per contest. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Atlanta batters, who average an NL-low 6.9 strikeouts per road game.
So far this season, the Braves are 1-0 against the Red Sox. This game will feature Teheran (RHP) on the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 19-27 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Braves will be the left-hander Miley. They sport a 4-4 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
Atlanta has won 37% (13-22) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Boston has won 43% (12-16) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Braves have a 6-6 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-31. The Braves have a 6-20 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 41 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 12th with 61.
Boston and Atlanta both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Boston sits at ninth with 8.39 hits per game and Atlanta ranks sixth with 8.84.
Boston and Atlanta both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Boston sits at 20th with an OPS of .694 and Atlanta ranks 18th with an OPS of .698.
The Braves are 11-24 when they allow at least one home run. The Red Sox perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 11-30 record.