In the second of a two-game series between the Miami Marlins (28-37) and the New York Yankees (28-37) at Marlins Park, David Phelps (3-3, 4.11 ERA) and Nathan Eovaldi (5-1, 4.13 ERA) get the start. The Marlins won the last game 2-1 and Miami leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and will air on YES and FSN-FL.
In his last start, Phelps pitched 8.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking one in a 6-0 victory over the Rockies. Giancarlo Stanton (.261, 41 Rs, 23 HRs, 59 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. The Yankees were unsuccessful to the Nationals 5-4 the last time Eovaldi pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking one. Mark Teixeira (.256, 33 Rs, 18 HRs, 48 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Miami is a small -115 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Marlins are 14-18 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,194. They have an SU record of 3-6 against the American League and a 3-3 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Marlins rank fifth in the NL in hits with 8.9 per game. Whenever an American League opponent shows up on the calendar, the Marlins seem to struggle with pitching. They allow an average of 4.2 runs per game, but allow 5.7 against teams from the AL.
On the other side, the Yankees have a record of 16-15 when they are the underdog and are +317 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 7-3. The Yankees are known for their power, smashing 79 home runs. The Yankees average just 7.2 strikeouts per road game, one of the lowest marks in the AL. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 walks per game, good for fourth in the AL.
The only other game between the two teams went Miami's way. The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Eovaldi) in this game and have a 19-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Phelps will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 25-21 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Yankees lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Marlins are 10-9. The Yankees are 8-10 in close games this season.
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 1-4 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Yankees are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have a 10-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 21-11. The Yankees have a 22-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 247 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 288.
Ranking 23rd, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 152 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 198.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 18-20. When the Yankees hit at least one homer, they have a 29-17 record.