Kyle Ryan (1-0, 2.08 ERA) and Michael Lorenzen (1-2, 4.01 ERA) start in the second of a two-game series between the Detroit Tigers (34-30) and the Cincinnati Reds (28-35) at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 6-0 and Detroit leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:08 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and can be seen on FSN-OH and FSN-DET.
Ryan pitched 3.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs (one unearned), striking out two and walking one in a 12-3 defeat to the Cubs. Miguel Cabrera (.344, 37 Rs, 14 HRs, 47 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and two RBIs. Lorenzen went 4.1 innings, surrendering five runs (one unearned), striking out six and walking three in a 6-3 defeat to the Cubs in his last outing. Todd Frazier (.289, 44 Rs, 18 HRs, 39 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one stolen base.
Detroit is a -150 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Tigers have an overall money line of +35 and a record as the favorite of 21-17. Detroit is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Tigers have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the NL, averaging 3.5 runs per game. They average 4.2 runs per game on the season. Detroit is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 51 bases. Detroit's pitchers put it all together when National League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.5 against NL teams, compared to its 4.1 season average.
In the other locker room, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -728 and a disappointing record of 11-24 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record, and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, the Reds have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 2.8 in those contests. The Reds can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fifth in the league with 74 home runs. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 66 stolen bases. The Reds allow 4.3 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.0 against teams from the AL.
The Tigers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Tigers have a 23-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lorenzen takes the mound. Ryan (LHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 7-9 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
After last game's shutout win against the Cincinnati Reds, the Tigers now have eight shutouts this season. The Reds have been shut out in four games this season.
Cincinnati has won 38% (10-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 59% (16-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Tigers are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Reds have a 1-4 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Tigers have a slight leg up on the Reds, as the Tigers have won their last two games while the Reds have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 20-8. The Tigers have a 30-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th in runs, Cincinnati has earned 252 this season. Detroit ranks 11th with 270 runs.
Ranking 12th, Detroit is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 196 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 201.
The Tigers are 24-10 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Reds are 24-18 when they hit at least one homer.