Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Carlos Martinez (7-2, 2.93 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (42-21) meet Kyle Gibson (4-4, 3.24 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (34-29) in the second of a two-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 3-2 and St. Louis leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 1:45 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and will air on FSN-N and FSN-MW.
In his most recent outing, Martinez pitched 6.1 innings, allowing two runs, striking out four and walking one in a 4-2 victory over the Rockies. Jhonny Peralta (.316, 30 Rs, 10 HRs, 35 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Twins were unsuccessful the last time Gibson pitched. He struggled, going, going 6.0 innings, giving up four runs (one unearned), striking out six and walking two in a 7-2 loss to the Royals. Brian Dozier (.266, 51 Rs, 13 HRs, 32 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI.
St. Louis is a -175 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Cardinals have a winning record of 32-11 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +1,779. They have an SU record of 6-5 against the AL and a 4-2 record when they were the favorite in those games. St. Louis has averaged 3.1 runs per game during interleague play, lower than its season average of 4.0. The Cardinals are a stellar hitting team with 8.9 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. Don't expect the St. Louis hitters to swing wildly in their own ballpark. They average only 6.8 strikeouts per home game. St. Louis's pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an AL-low 2.65 team ERA. The Cardinals are fourth in the league in WHIP at 1.20.
Moving on to the away team, the Twins come into this game with a win percentage of .560 when playing as the underdog (28-22) and an overall money line of +1,264. NL opponents have had a tough time keeping up with Minnesota. The Twins have managed to go undefeated when ranked as the underdog this season with a record of 3-0 and a 3-2 record SU.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 1-0 against the Twins. This game will feature Gibson (RHP) on the mound against the Cardinals, who have a 21-4 home and 34-14 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Martinez will take the mound against the Twins, who have a 19-19 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Twins lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Cardinals are 13-10. The Twins are 12-8 in close games this season.
When the Twins play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Cardinals are 5-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cardinals have an 18-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 30-7. The Twins have a 23-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, St. Louis is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 250 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top half at 14th with 265.
Ranking 25th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 151 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top half at 13th with 194.
The Cardinals are 26-8 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Twins are 26-10 when they hit at least one homer.