Tommy Milone (2-1, 4.15 ERA) and Carlos Martinez (7-2, 2.93 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a two-game series between the Minnesota Twins (34-30) and the St. Louis Cardinals (43-21) at Target Field. The Cardinals come into this series hoping to extend a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 17 and can be seen on FSN-MW and FSN-N.
Milone pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 6-2 defeat to the Rangers. Brian Dozier (.265, 52 Rs, 13 HRs, 32 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base. Martinez went 6.1 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking one in a 4-2 win over the Rockies in his most recent start. Matt Carpenter (.291, 40 Rs, 8 HRs, 32 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run.
St. Louis takes on Minnesota as a -136 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +1,164 and a record as the underdog of 28-23. Minnesota has recorded a disappointing 2-6 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Twins have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. As for the pitchers, the Twins are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.4 walks per game so far this season.
Over in the other dugout, St. Louis is coming in with an overall money line of +1,879 and an impressive record of 33-11 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 5-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, the Cardinals have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.0 runs per game by averaging 2.9 during that stretch. The Cardinals are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.9 hits per game. St. Louis's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an NL-low 2.64 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Cardinals are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season.
The Cardinals have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Twins have a 19-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Martinez takes the mound. Milone (LHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a 7-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Cardinals won by a margin of one run. The Twins are 12-9 in one-run games. The Cardinals have a 14-10 record in close games.
The Twins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 5-3 in such matchups.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 16-24 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 6-27. The Cardinals have a 10-14 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, Minnesota ranks 26th with 48 homers and St. Louis is 25th with 49.
Ranking 10th, Minnesota is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.29 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.90.
Ranking 25th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.680). St. Louis ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .722.
The Cardinals are 17-14 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Twins are 19-23 when they allow at least one homer.