Jordan Zimmermann (5-4, 3.74 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (34-31) go up against Matt Andriese (1-1, 3.76 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (36-30) in the first of a two-game interleague series at Nationals Park. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 17 and will air on SunSports, MASN2 and ESPN 2.
In his last start, Zimmermann pitched 3.1 innings, allowing six runs, striking out four and walking one in an 8-4 loss to the Brewers. Bryce Harper (.346, 49 Rs, 22 HRs, 52 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 3 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Rays were victorious the last time Andriese pitched. He pitched well, going, going 5.2 innings, giving up zero runs (two unearned), striking out five and walking one in a 7-5 victory over the White Sox. Logan Forsythe (.276, 26 Rs, 7 HRs, 30 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Washington, a -158 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Tampa Bay. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Nationals have a 27-21 record and overall money line at -477. They have an SU record of 5-6 against the AL and a 3-2 record when they were the favorite in those games. Washington's pitchers struggle against teams that play in the American League. The Nationals have given up an average of 5.5 runs to opponents from the AL, well over their defense's season average of 4.3.
Switching gears, the Rays come into this game with a win percentage of .529 when playing as the underdog (18-16) and an overall money line of +613. Against NL opponents, they are 4-2 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 3-1 record. When it comes to scoring runs, the Rays have performed much better than normal against teams from the NL. During those games, they averaged five runs per game, above their 3.7 season average. Switching gears to Tampa Bay's pitching staff, they have the lowest road ERA in the AL at 3.00. They also average just 7.7 hits allowed per game, best in the AL. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 8.5 strikeouts per game.
The Nationals will take on a right-hander (Andriese) in this game and have a 24-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Rays will be the right-hander Zimmermann. They sport a 22-21 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Nationals won by a margin of 12 runs. The Rays are 0-1 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Nationals have a 3-0 record in blowouts.
When the Nationals play into extra innings, they have a 4-1 record. The Rays are 2-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Rays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Nationals who are heading in with a 10-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 24-5. The Nationals have a 25-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th, Tampa Bay sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 246 this season. Washington ranks in the top five at fifth with 289.
Ranking 17th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 182 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 206.
When the Nationals hit at least one home run, they are 25-14, well-matched with the Rays who are 24-16 when hitting one or more homers.