In the first of a two-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (34-32) and the New York Mets (34-32) at the Rogers Centre, Drew Hutchison (5-1, 5.75 ERA) and Jon Niese (3-6, 4.24 ERA) get the ball. The game gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 17 and will air on SNY and RSN.
In his last start, Hutchison pitched 2.1 innings, giving up eight runs, striking out three and walking three in a 13-10 loss to the Red Sox. Chris Colabello (.342, 24 Rs, 4 HRs, 22 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Blue Jays, Niese is 0-1 with a 24.00 ERA, 3.33 WHIP, and six strikeouts. Lucas Duda (.280, 36 Rs, 9 HRs, 29 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Toronto, a -154 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at nine runs. The Blue Jays have a winning record of 20-12 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +128. They are 9-1 SU and perfect as the favorite (6-0) in their last 10 games. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Blue Jays has gone great. Over that span, Toronto is averaging 7.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 5.5. The Blue Jays come into the game with the AL's top ranked home scoring offense, averaging 5.7 runs per game in their own ballpark. The Blue Jays rank third in the majors in home runs with 81. In games against National League opponents, Toronto's pitchers are doing better against opposing batters. It only gives up an average of 3.5 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.
Moving on to the away team, the Mets come into this game in an interesting position. They have won more than 60 percent of games played as the underdog (6-21) but have a negative money line (+325). Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have a poor 0-2 record when they were an underdog to win. New York's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play AL opponents. They've allowed an average of 3.3 runs per game against teams from the AL lower than their season average of 3.9. They have a WHIP of 1.19 on the year, good for second in the league.
So far this season, the Mets are 2-0 against the Blue Jays. This game will feature Niese (LHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 7-2 home and 10-4 overall record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Hutchison. They sport a 29-24 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Mets won by a margin of one run. The Blue Jays are 6-14 in one-run games. The Mets have a 13-9 record in close games.
The Mets are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are 2-2 in such matchups.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Blue Jays have a 13-11 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 4-24. The Mets have a 10-24 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 15th in home runs, New York has hit 58 this season. Toronto ranks third with 81 home runs.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.05 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 9.08.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .777. New York ranks near the bottom at 23rd with an OPS of .683.
The Mets are 15-22 when they allow at least one home run. The Blue Jays perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 22-23 record.