Johnny Cueto (4-4, 2.85 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (29-35) take on David Price (6-2, 2.44 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (34-31) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a two-game series at the Great American Ball Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 17 and can be seen on FSN-DET and FSN-OH.

Cueto pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs and striking out nine in a 5-4 defeat to the Cubs. Todd Frazier (.293, 46 Rs, 20 HRs, 41 RBIs, 8 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs. When pitching against the Reds, Price is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and 22 strikeouts. Miguel Cabrera (.345, 37 Rs, 14 HRs, 48 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one RBI.

Cincinnati is a -120 favorite against Detroit and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. Though the Reds have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-828), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 17-10. Cincinnati is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 5-5 SU record in its last ten outings. The Reds have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 2.4 runs per game. They average 4.0 runs per game on the season. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 66 bases. Cincinnati's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 5.1 against AL teams, compared to its 4.4 season average.

In games where it is the underdog, Detroit has a 12-13 record and an overall money line of +135. Detroit has put in a great performance against interleague opponents, coming in with a nice record SU ({}) and as the underdog (4-3). The Tigers are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 9.4 hits per game. The Tigers are an excellent base stealing team with 51 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Tigers allow 4.1 runs per game, but does better whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.2 against teams from the NL.

The Reds have a 7-9 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Price takes the mound. Cueto (RHP) will be on the hill against the Tigers, who have a 24-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over


Cincinnati has won 41% (11-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 57% (16-12) of its games when taking a late lead.

The Reds are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Tigers have a record of 6-3 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Tigers are 2-21. The Reds have a 6-25 record when opponents outhit them.

Detroit ranks near the bottom of the league at 24th when it comes to home runs, hitting 51 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 77.

Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.42 per game this season. Cincinnati ranks 12th with 8.14 hits.

Ranking 15th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.713). Detroit ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .749.

When the Tigers allow at least one home run, they are 12-22, well-matched with the Reds who are 13-27 when allowing at least one homer.