Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Clayton Kershaw (5-3, 3.21 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (37-28) meet Wandy Rodriguez (3-2, 3.03 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (35-30) in the first of a two-game series at Dodger Stadium. The game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 17 and will air on FSN-SW and SportsNet LA.
In his most recent outing, Kershaw pitched 6.2 innings, allowing one run, striking out 11 and walking three in a 4-3 loss to the Padres. Justin Turner (.319, 20 Rs, 6 HRs, 26 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Dodgers, Rodriguez is 5-5 with a 2.64 ERA. He meets a solid Los Angeles offense that's batting .257. Prince Fielder (.341, 32 Rs, 10 HRs, 46 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Los Angeles is a heavy -275 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is six runs. The Dodgers are 33-24 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -7. They have performed well against the American League to earn an SU record of 3-1 and a 2-1 record when they were the favorite. The Dodgers have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Dodgers are a dangerous hitting team with 204 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. The Dodgers typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an NL-high 3.6 walks per game. Los Angeles's pitchers struggle against teams that play in the American League. The Dodgers have given up an average of 4.0 runs to opponents from the AL, well over their defense's season average of 3.5. The Dodgers are fourth in the league in WHIP at 1.19. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per game.
Switching gears, the Rangers come into this game with a win percentage of .527 when playing as the underdog (29-26) and an overall money line of +1,427. Interleague opponents haven't been able to get the upper hand on fiery Texas. The Rangers hold a record of 2-1 in games where they were ranked as the underdog and a 2-1 SU. Texas has stepped up their play against NL opponents averaging an impressive 5.3 runs per game compared to their 4.6 runs per game season average. Playing NL opponents really brings the best out of the Texas pitchers. They allow 3.3 runs per game against teams in the NL, which is lower than their season average of 4.4.
So far this season, the Rangers are 2-0 against the Dodgers. The Dodgers will take on a left-hander (Rodriguez) in this game. They have struggled against left-handed starting pitchers this season, going 3-6. The left-handed Kershaw will take the mound against the Rangers, who have a 10-12 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Rangers won by a margin of one run. The Dodgers are 9-12 in one-run games. The Rangers have a 12-8 record in close games.
When the Dodgers and the Rangers play into extra innings, both teams have a 3-2 record.
The Rangers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Dodgers have a 9-13 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Rangers are 6-25. The Dodgers have a 7-19 record when opponents outhit them.
Texas ranks in the top 10 of the league at 10th when it comes to home runs, hitting 67 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with 83.
Los Angeles and Texas both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at eighth with 8.48 hits per game and Texas ranks sixth with 8.58.
Ranking 13th, Texas is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.724). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .768.
When the Rangers allow at least one home run, they are 17-25, well-matched with the Dodgers who are 16-19 when allowing at least one homer.