R.A. Dickey (2-6, 5.29 ERA) and Bartolo Colon (9-4, 4.41 ERA) take the hill in the second of a two-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (35-32) and the New York Mets (36-31) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 8-0 and Toronto leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 18 and can be seen on SNY and RSN.
Dickey pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking one in a 5-4 defeat to the Red Sox. Josh Donaldson (.305, 54 Rs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two runs. Colon is 10-5 with a 4.02 ERA when pitching against the Blue Jays. He takes on a good Toronto offense which is hitting .269 this season.
Toronto is a -151 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of +28 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 20-12. Toronto is unbeaten as the favorite and has an 8-2 SU record in its last ten outings. The Blue Jays have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 7.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 5.5 runs per game. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in home offense with 5.7 runs per home game. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 83. Toronto's pitchers put it all together when National League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.5 against NL teams, compared to its 4.4 season average.
As for their opponent, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+425), New York has an unimpressive 6-21 record when playing as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-1 record when playing as the underdog. The Mets allow 3.8 runs per game, but does better whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.1 against teams from the AL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Mets lead the season series, 2-1. The Blue Jays have a 24-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Colon takes the mound. Dickey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 30-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
Toronto won its last game in a shutout, its fourth of the season. New York has been shut out six times this season.
When the Mets play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Blue Jays are 2-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Blue Jays have a 4-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Blue Jays are 31-5. The Mets have a 23-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 369 this season. New York ranks 23rd with 254 runs.
Ranking 19th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 179 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 219.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 31-16, well-matched with the Mets who are 23-10 when hitting one or more homers.