Sean O Sullivan (1-5, 5.08 ERA) and Bud Norris (2-4, 8.29 ERA) take the hill in the second of a two-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (22-45) and the Baltimore Orioles (34-31) at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies lost the last game 6-4, continuing a nine-game losing streak. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 18 and can be seen on MASN and CSN-PHI.
O Sullivan is 0-0 with an 8.64 ERA in his appearances against the Orioles, and goes up against a quality Baltimore offense which is batting .259 this season. Ben Revere (.276, 31 Rs, 16 RBIs, 16 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one stolen base. Norris is 1-3 with a 4.21 ERA when pitching against the Phillies. He takes on a below-average Philadelphia offense which is hitting just .236 this season.
Baltimore takes on Philadelphia as a -152 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -1,808 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 19-39. Philadelphia has recorded a disappointing 1-9 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Phillies have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 1.8 runs per game. They average 3.0 runs per game on the season. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.2 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.7.
As for their opponent, Baltimore is coming in with an overall money line of +196 and an impressive record of 21-13 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 5-1 record, and an 8-2 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.5 runs per game, which is good for third in the AL. The Orioles are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the AL with 8.7 hits per game. Baltimore's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL, with a 3.68 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Orioles are fourth in the AL with an average of 8.0 hits allowed per game.
The Orioles have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Phillies have a bad 18-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Norris takes the mound. O Sullivan (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 25-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
Philadelphia has won 31% (10-22) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 59% (16-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Orioles have a 9-13 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
The Orioles are coming into the game with three consecutive wins, while the Phillies currently have a losing streak of nine.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 14-7. The Orioles have a 26-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 204 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at third with 294.
Philadelphia and Baltimore both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Philadelphia sits at 27th with 147 this season and Baltimore ranks 23rd with 161.
The Phillies are 12-16 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Orioles are 28-15 when they hit at least one homer.