Mat Latos (2-4, 5.44 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (29-38) are in New York to meet CC Sabathia (3-7, 5.38 ERA) and the Yankees (35-30) in a game that could have plenty of offense. This is the second of a two-game series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 2-1 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 18 and will air on FSN-FL and YES.
In his most recent outing, Sabathia pitched 5.0 innings, allowing four runs and striking out three in a 9-4 loss to the Orioles. The Marlins were victorious the last time Latos pitched. He had a good outing, pitching, going 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out 11 and walking two in a 4-1 victory over the Rockies.
New York is a -134 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Yankees are 18-14 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +74. They have an SU record of 3-6 against the National League and a 3-3 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Yankees come into the game with the AL's second-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game in their own ballpark. The Yankees rank fifth in the majors in home runs with 79. As for the pitching staff, the Yankees are fourth in the AL in walks allowed with just 2.6 per game.
Switching gears, the Marlins come into this game with a win percentage of .424 when playing as the underdog (14-19) and an overall money line of -968. Against interleague opponents, they are 5-6 SU and 1-3 as the underdog. Miami is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.0 hits per contest. Miami's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play AL opponents. They've allowed an average of 4.9 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.1.
The Marlins are 2-1 against the Yankees this season. The Yankees will take on a right-hander (Latos) in this game and have a 25-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Sabathia will take the mound against the Marlins, who have an 8-6 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Marlins lost by a margin of one run. The Yankees are 9-10 in one-run games. The Marlins have a 10-10 record in close games.
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 1-4 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 10-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 22-11. The Yankees have a 23-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th in runs, Miami has earned 260 this season. New York ranks fourth with 292 runs.
Ranking 24th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 159 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 205.
When the Yankees hit at least one home run, they are 29-17. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 19-21 record.