Shelby Miller (5-2, 2.02 ERA) takes the mound for the Atlanta Braves (32-34) as they meet Clay Buchholz (3-6, 4.22 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (28-39) in the second of a two-game series at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 5-2 and Atlanta leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 18 and will air on NESN and SPSO.
In his most recent outing, Miller pitched 6.1 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking two in a 5-3 loss to the Mets. Cameron Maybin (.296, 26 Rs, 5 HRs, 33 RBIs, 12 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Braves, Buchholz is 0-0 with an 18.00 ERA, four strikeouts and eight walks. Brock Holt (.314, 20 Rs, 2 HRs, 15 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Atlanta is a -116 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Braves perform well as a favorite with a 9-6 record and have an overall money line of +250. They have a winless record (0-1) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. The Braves come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 4.3 runs per game.
On the other side, the Red Sox have a record of 9-12 when they are the underdog and are -1,744 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-2 record and 3-7 SU. When it comes to scoring runs, the Red Sox have performed much better than normal against teams from the NL. During those games, they averaged six runs per game, above their 3.9 season average. The Red Sox average 3.2 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the AL.
The Braves are 2-1 against the Red Sox this season. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Buchholz) in this game and have a 27-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the right-hander Miller. They sport a 20-28 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Boston is 13-17, while Atlanta is 14-23.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 12-20 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-32. The Braves have a 6-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 41 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 12th with 63.
Atlanta and Boston both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Atlanta sits at sixth with 8.86 hits per game and Boston ranks eighth with 8.56.
Atlanta and Boston both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Atlanta sits at 19th with an OPS of .699 and Boston ranks 18th with an OPS of .703.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 11-30, well-matched with the Braves who are 12-25 when allowing at least one homer.