Jimmy Nelson (3-7, 4.60 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (24-43) are in Kansas City to meet Jeremy Guthrie (4-4, 5.79 ERA) and the Royals (37-25) in a matchup that has the potential for plenty of offense. This is the second of a two-game series at Kauffman Stadium. The Brewers lost the last game 10-2, extending a five-game losing streak. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 18 and will air on FSN-KC, FSN-WI and FS1.
In his last start, Guthrie pitched 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out four and walking one in a 3-2 loss to the Cardinals. Lorenzo Cain (.291, 40 Rs, 6 HRs, 29 RBIs, 11 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run and one RBI. The Brewers were unsuccessful to the Nationals 7-2 the last time Nelson pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing seven runs, striking out three and walking two.
Kansas City is a -122 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Royals perform well as a favorite with a 21-13 record and have an overall money line of +918. They are 5-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Royals have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Royals rank second in the AL in hits with 9.2 per game. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, leading the AL with an average of only 5.9 strikeouts per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Royals lead the NL in ERA with a 3.38 team average. The Royals are the best in the AL in hits allowed, giving up just 7.8 per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Brewers come into this game with a win percentage of .409 when playing as the underdog (18-26) and an overall money line of -1,675. When playing Interleague competitors, they have a 1-2 as the favorite and 5-6 SU. When it comes to scoring runs, the Brewers have performed much better than normal against teams from the AL. During those games, they averaged four runs per game, above their 3.6 season average.
The previous three games have all gone Kansas City's way. This game will feature Nelson (RHP) on the mound against the Royals, who have a 26-16 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Guthrie. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport an 18-35 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Kansas City is 17-7, while Milwaukee is 11-16.
The Royals are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 10 runs. The Brewers have a 0-7 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Royals have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Royals have won their last three games while the Brewers have lost their last five.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 17-4. The Royals have a 32-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 243 this season. Kansas City ranks in the top half at 13th with 276.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 130 this season. Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 26th with 149.
The Royals are 25-11 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 20-15 when they hit at least one homer.