Anthony DeSclafani (5-4, 3.36 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (30-35) go up against Dan Haren (6-3, 3.22 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (29-39) in the first of a three-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 19 and will air on FSN-FL and FSN-OH.
In his most recent outing, DeSclafani pitched 6.1 innings, allowing one run, striking out five and walking two in a 2-1 loss to the Cubs. Todd Frazier (.294, 48 Rs, 22 HRs, 46 RBIs, 8 SBs) played well again Wednesday, going 2 for 6 with two runs, two home runs, and five RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Reds, Haren is 4-3 with a 4.78 ERA, 41 strikeouts and nine walks. Giancarlo Stanton (.265, 44 Rs, 25 HRs, 63 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Cincinnati is a small -115 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Reds perform well as a favorite with an 18-10 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-603). They are 6-4 SU and perfect as the favorite (4-0) in their last 10 games. The Reds have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.7 runs per game. The Reds are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 66 steals.
On the other side, the Marlins have a record of 14-20 when they are the underdog and are -1,068 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-4 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5.
This game will feature Haren (RHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 21-26 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander DeSclafani. They sport a 21-32 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Cincinnati is 11-16, while Miami is 13-21.
The Reds are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 13 strikeouts. The Marlins have a record of 2-3 when they are struck out that many times or more.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Marlins, as the Reds have won their last two games while the Marlins have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 22-11. The Reds have a 22-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Miami has earned 264 this season. Cincinnati ranks 18th with 265 runs.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 159 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 207.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 26-18. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 19-22 record.