Carlos Carrasco (8-5, 4.38 ERA) and Nathan Karns (3-3, 3.67 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (31-34) and the Tampa Bay Rays (38-30) at Progressive Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 19 and can be seen on SunSports, STO and MLB Net.
Carrasco pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 5-4 win over the Tigers. Michael Brantley (.306, 26 Rs, 4 HRs, 35 RBIs, 8 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Karns went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out eight and walking one in a 2-1 defeat to the White Sox in his last outing. Logan Forsythe (.276, 27 Rs, 7 HRs, 31 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Cleveland is a -169 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,013 and a record as the favorite of 20-23. The Indians have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. Cleveland leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 3.8 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 19-16 record and an overall money line of +715. Tampa Bay's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 2.90 ERA on the road. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Rays are the best in the AL on the road with an average of 7.2 hits allowed per away game.
The Indians have a 20-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Karns takes the mound. Carrasco (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 24-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Tampa Bay is 13-12, while Cleveland is 11-11.
The Indians are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Rays have a 15-17 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 5-27. The Rays have a 7-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Cleveland ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 55 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top half at 14th with 61.
Ranking 11th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.06 per game. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.52.
Ranking 22nd, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.692). Cleveland ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .722.
The Rays are 15-22 when they allow at least one home run. The Indians perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 21-26 record.