Matt Wisler (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (32-35) meet Jacob deGrom (7-4, 2.33 ERA) and the New York Mets (36-32) in the first of a three-game division series at Turner Field. The game gets underway at 7:35 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 19 and will air on SNY and FSN-S.
This is the first start of the season for Wisler. Cameron Maybin (.300, 27 Rs, 5 HRs, 33 RBIs, 12 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his career against the Braves, deGrom is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA. He meets a solid Atlanta offense that's batting .259. Lucas Duda (.276, 37 Rs, 10 HRs, 30 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Atlanta, a +129 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The matchup currently has a seven-run Over/Under (O/U). The Braves are 22-29 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +250. They have a 14-16 record SU and are 9-12 as the underdog within their division.
On the other side, the Mets have a nice record of 30-9 when they are favored and are +225 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 23-12 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 19-6 record. New York has stepped up their play against division opponents. They have averaged 4.2 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.8. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the New York pitchers. They allowed 5.3 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 3.9. They also allow just 2.3 walks per game, best in the NL.
The Mets have mostly come out on top against the Braves in their previous nine games this season, earning a 6-3 record. This game will feature deGrom (RHP) on the mound against the Braves, who have a 28-30 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Wisler. They sport a 30-26 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games.
NY Mets are 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing Atlanta.
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta.
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
The Mets sit at 23-12 against their divisional rivals, while the Braves are 14-16.
When the Mets play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Braves are 2-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 12-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 24-11. The Mets have a 23-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th in runs, New York has earned 255 this season. Atlanta ranks 10th with 285 runs.
Ranking 18th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 184 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 12th with 203.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 19-11, well-matched with the Mets who are 23-11 when hitting one or more homers.