Anthony DeSclafani (5-4, 3.36 ERA) and Tom Koehler (5-4, 3.76 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (31-35) and the Miami Marlins (29-40) at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 5-0 and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 20 and can be seen on FSN-FL and FSN-OH.
Todd Frazier (.297, 49 Rs, 22 HRs, 46 RBIs, 8 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. When pitching against the Reds, Koehler is 0-1 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, and six strikeouts. Dee Gordon (.355, 36 Rs, 17 RBIs, 22 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Cincinnati is a -120 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. Though the Reds have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-603), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 18-10. Cincinnati is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Reds have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in home offense with 4.7 runs per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 67 bases.
In the other locker room, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -1,168 and a disappointing record of 14-21 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 5-5 record SU.
The Reds have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Reds have a 21-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Koehler takes the mound. Moscot (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 21-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
Cincinnati won its last game in a shutout, its third of the season. Miami has been shut out five times this season.
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 3-5 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-26. The Reds have a 6-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 20th in home runs, Miami has hit 56 this season. Cincinnati ranks sixth with 80 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.28 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.91.
Ranking 22nd, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.691). Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .719.
The Marlins are 13-25 when they allow at least one home run. The Reds perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 14-27 record.