Mark Buehrle (7-4, 4.01 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (37-32) meet Kevin Gausman (1-0, 4.50 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (34-33) in the second of a three-game division series at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 5-4 and Toronto leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 1:07 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 20 and will air on MASN, RSN and MLB Network.
Buehrle has a 3.56 ERA and an 11-10 record in his career against the Orioles, and faces a strong Baltimore offense that's hitting .257 on the year. Chris Colabello (.350, 28 Rs, 5 HRs, 24 RBIs, 2 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 2 with one run. In his career against the Blue Jays, Gausman is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA. He meets a solid Toronto offense that's batting .269. Manny Machado (.292, 45 Rs, 14 HRs, 34 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Orioles, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs and one stolen base.
Toronto, a -150 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Baltimore. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at nine runs. The Blue Jays perform well as a favorite with a 22-12 record and have an overall money line of +228. They have SU record of 8-2 and are unbeaten as the favorite (5-0) over their last 10 games. Toronto has averaged 7.3 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 5.5. The Blue Jays have the most prolific offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Blue Jays lead the majors in extra base hits with 236. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking second in the AL with an average of 3.2 walks per game. Toronto's pitching staff performs very well on its own field, recording a low 3.30 team ERA at home.
Switching gears, the Orioles come into this game in an interesting position. They have won more than 60 percent of games played as the underdog (12-18) but have a negative money line (+139). Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the underdog with a perfect 2-0 record and 8-2 SU. The Orioles rank fourth in the AL in scoring, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Baltimore's pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.8 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 3.9.
The Blue Jays have gotten the best of the Orioles in head-to-head matchups this season, going 7-3. This game will feature Gausman (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 25-28 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Buehrle will take the mound against the Orioles, who have an 8-6 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays hold an 18-14 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Orioles' record in these matchups is 20-19.
For the sixth time this season, the Orioles registered at least two errors in a game.
The Blue Jays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are coming in with a 7-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Blue Jays have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Blue Jays have won their last three games while the Orioles have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 26-7. The Blue Jays have a 33-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 381 this season. Baltimore ranks sixth with 299 runs.
Ranking 22nd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 168 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 227.
The Blue Jays are 32-16 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 28-16 record.