Williams Perez (3-0, 2.29 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (2-4, 3.76 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (33-35) and the New York Mets (36-33) at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 2-1 and Atlanta leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 20 and can be seen on PIX11 and FSN-S.
Perez pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out two and walking two in a 4-2 win over the Red Sox. Syndergaard went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out 11 and walking two in a 4-3 defeat to the Blue Jays in his last outing. Daniel Murphy (.283, 16 Rs, 4 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
New York is a slim -113 favorite over Atlanta. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Braves have an overall money line of +250 and a record as the underdog of 22-29. Within its division, Atlanta has a 5-4 as the underdog and a 14-16 SU.
In the other locker room, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +225 and an impressive record of 30-9 as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 19-6 record against teams in their division, and a 23-12 record SU. Offensively, the Mets have really picked up the pace in division games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 4.2 in those contests. The Mets allow 3.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.3 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Mets lead the season series, 6-4. The Braves have a 28-30 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Syndergaard takes the mound. Perez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 30-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 23-13 against their divisional rivals, while the Braves are 15-16.
Atlanta has won 37% (14-24) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 55% (16-13) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Mets have a 2-4 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 6-22. The Mets have a 10-26 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 41 this season. New York ranks 16th with 59 home runs.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.96 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.84.
Atlanta and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Atlanta sits at 21st with an OPS of .692 and New York ranks 25th with an OPS of .674.
The Mets are 15-24 when they allow at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 12-25 record.