Aaron Harang (4-8, 3.24 ERA) and John Lackey (5-4, 3.59 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (23-46) and the St. Louis Cardinals (44-23) at Citizens Bank Park. The Cardinals won the last game 12-4 and St. Louis leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 20 and can be seen on FSN-MW and TCN-PHI.
Harang is 7-16 with a 4.39 ERA in his appearances against the Cardinals, and goes up against a good St. Louis offense which is batting .263 this season. Ryan Howard (.236, 23 Rs, 13 HRs, 33 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. Lackey is 2-4 with a 3.46 ERA against the Phillies in his career. He is up against a below-average Philadelphia offense that's batting just .237. Matt Carpenter (.297, 42 Rs, 8 HRs, 33 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 1 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
St. Louis takes on Philadelphia as a -171 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -1,761 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 20-40. Philadelphia has recorded a disappointing 1-9 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Phillies have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.0 runs per game.
Over in the other dugout, St. Louis is coming in with an overall money line of +1,720 and an impressive record of 34-13 as the favorite. St. Louis's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an NL-low 2.62 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Cardinals are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 4-1. The Phillies have a bad 19-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lackey takes the mound. Harang (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a very good 36-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Under
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 16-7, while Philadelphia is 10-22.
The Phillies are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Cardinals have a record of 10-9 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 7-35. The Cardinals have a 10-15 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 40 this season. St. Louis ranks 22nd with 53 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.90 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.79.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.635). St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .725.
The Cardinals are 18-15 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Phillies are 8-32 when they allow at least one homer.