Kyle Gibson (4-5, 3.33 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (37-31) meet Jake Arrieta (6-5, 3.40 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (36-30) in the last of a three-game interleague series at Target Field. The Cubs won the last game 4-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 21 and will air on ABC7 and FSN-N.
In his most recent outing, Gibson pitched 6.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking two in a 3-2 loss to the Cardinals. Torii Hunter (.260, 30 Rs, 8 HRs, 36 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Twins, Arrieta is 2-1 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, and 13 strikeouts. Anthony Rizzo (.306, 40 Rs, 14 HRs, 42 RBIs, 10 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Cubs, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Minnesota is a +110 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Twins are 31-24 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +1,403. They have performed well against the NL to earn an SU record of 6-4 and a 6-2 record when they were the underdog. Minnesota has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Minnesota has only averaged 3.1 runs per game compared to the 4.2 they've averaged on the season. In games against National League opponents, Minnesota's pitchers are doing better against opposing batters. It only gives up an average of 3.2 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.0.
Across the field, the Cubs have a record of 22-17 when they are favored and are +136 overall with the money line. AL opponents have easily gained the upper hand against lackluster Chicago. The Cubs hold a record of 2-3 in games where they were ranked as the favorite and a 3-5 SU. Chicago has stepped up their play against AL opponents averaging an impressive 5.0 runs per game compared to their 4.2 runs per game season average. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have the fourth-lowest ERA in the NL at 3.61. They also allow just 2.6 walks per game, fourth-best in the NL. The Chicago pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging an NL-best 8.7 strikeouts per game.
This game will feature Arrieta (RHP) on the mound against the Twins, who have a 21-21 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Gibson will take the mound against the Cubs, who have a 30-26 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Chicago is 15-14, while Minnesota is 10-14.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Twins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cubs have a 14-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 7-28. The Cubs have a 7-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 26th in home runs, Minnesota has hit 51 this season. Chicago ranks 12th with 66 home runs.
Both Minnesota and Chicago are tied at 10th in hits, notching 8.28 per game.
Ranking 24th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.685). Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .713.
When the Cubs allow at least one home run, they are 21-21. When the Twins allow one or more homers, they have a 21-23 record.