Chris Rusin (2-2, 5.14 ERA) and Matt Garza (4-8, 5.07 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Colorado Rockies (29-39) and the Milwaukee Brewers (25-45) at Coors Field. The Rockies won the last game 5-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 21 and can be seen on FSN-WI and ROOT-RM.
Rusin is 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA in his appearances against the Brewers, but goes up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is batting just .236 this season. Nolan Arenado (.281, 38 Rs, 16 HRs, 53 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Garza is 2-4 with a 5.25 ERA against the Rockies in his career. He is up against a quality Colorado offense that's batting .267. Adam Lind (.275, 25 Rs, 10 HRs, 34 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Colorado is a slim -113 favorite at home against Milwaukee. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 11 runs for this matchup. The Rockies have recorded an overall money line of -796 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 5-13. Colorado has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Rockies have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.9 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. The Rockies have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in offense with 4.3 runs per game. The Rockies are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 9.2 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Milwaukee has a 19-28 record and an overall money line of -1,754. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-6 record, and a 3-7 record SU.
The Rockies lead the season series, 4-1. The Rockies have a 25-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Garza takes the mound. Rusin (LHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 7-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - COL, O/U - Over
Milwaukee has won 41% (12-17) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Colorado has won 44% (12-15) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rockies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 16-30 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 4-27. The Brewers have a 6-37 record when opponents outhit them.
Milwaukee ranks in the top half of the league at 15th when it comes to home runs, hitting 62 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 74.
Ranking 13th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.99 per game. Colorado ranks in the top five at third with 9.18.
Ranking 28th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.663). Colorado ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .743.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 15-30, well-matched with the Rockies who are 13-29 when allowing at least one homer.