Michael Lorenzen (2-2, 3.70 ERA) and David Phelps (4-3, 3.96 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (31-36) and the Miami Marlins (30-40) at the Great American Ball Park. The Marlins won the last game 5-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 21 and can be seen on FSN-FL and FSN-OH.
Lorenzen pitched 0.0 inning in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs in an 8-4 defeat to the Tigers. Joey Votto (.296, 35 Rs, 14 HRs, 36 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Against the Reds, Phelps is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 10 strikeouts. Giancarlo Stanton (.261, 45 Rs, 25 HRs, 63 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Cincinnati is a slim -113 favorite at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. Though the Reds have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-503), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 19-10. Cincinnati is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Reds have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in home offense with 4.7 runs per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 67 bases.
Over in the other dugout, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -1,268 and a disappointing record of 14-22 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 5-5 record SU.
The Reds have a 22-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Phelps takes the mound. Lorenzen (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 21-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
Miami earned its fifth shutout of the season in its last game. Cincinnati has been shut out five times this season.
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 3-5 in such matchups.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Reds have a 9-18 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 23-11. The Reds have a 23-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Cincinnati and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Cincinnati sits at 21st with 270 runs this season and Miami ranks 23rd with 269.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 165 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 212.
The Reds are 27-18 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 20-22 when they hit at least one homer.