Cody Anderson (MLB debut) and Alex Colome (3-3, 5.14 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (31-36) and the Tampa Bay Rays (40-30) at Progressive Field. The Rays won the last game 4-1 and Tampa Bay leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 21 and can be seen on SunSports and STO.
Jason Kipnis (.345, 46 Rs, 5 HRs, 28 RBIs, 10 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3. When pitching against the Indians, Colome is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, and six strikeouts. Joey Butler (.336, 18 Rs, 6 HRs, 19 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Cleveland is a slim -113 favorite at home against Tampa Bay. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,180 and a record as the favorite of 20-24. The Indians have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. Cleveland leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 3.7 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 20-16 record and an overall money line of +872. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have an 8-2 SU record over the same span. Tampa Bay's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 3.33 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Rays are the best in the AL on the road with an average of 7.3 hits allowed per away game.
The Rays have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Indians have a 20-20 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Colome takes the mound. Bauer (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 25-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
Cleveland has won 48% (11-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Tampa Bay has won 54% (14-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Indians are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rays have a 19-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
It looks like the Rays have a slight leg up on the Indians, as the Rays have won their last four games while the Indians have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 25-5. The Rays have a 26-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Cleveland and Tampa Bay both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Cleveland sits at 21st with 271 runs this season and Tampa Bay ranks 25th with 264.
Ranking first in walks, Cleveland has earned 250 this season. Tampa Bay ranks 17th with 191 walks.
When the Indians hit at least one home run, they are 24-15, well-matched with the Rays who are 28-16 when hitting one or more homers.