Masahiro Tanaka (4-2, 2.49 ERA) and Kyle Ryan (1-1, 3.26 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (38-30) and the Detroit Tigers (34-34) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 14-3 and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 21 and can be seen on FSN-DET and YES.
Tanaka pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs and striking out six in a 2-1 defeat to the Marlins. Alex Rodriguez (.283, 40 Rs, 14 HRs, 40 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and five RBIs. Ryan went 6.1 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-2 defeat to the Reds in his most recent start. Yoenis Cespedes (.302, 37 Rs, 9 HRs, 35 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
New York is a -158 favorite against Detroit and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +374 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 21-14. The Yankees are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 217. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Yankees, who lead the AL in strikeouts per home game with 9.0.
In games where it is the underdog, Detroit has a 12-15 record and an overall money line of -216. The Tigers are tough outs for opponents, ranking second in the AL with 9.3 hits per game. The Tigers are an excellent base stealing team with 52 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB.
The Yankees have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Yankees have a 28-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Ryan takes the mound. Tanaka (RHP) will be on the hill against the Tigers, who have a 24-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Yankees won their last game by an 11-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Tigers are 2-3. The Yankees are 3-3 in blowouts this season.
The Tigers are 3-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 1-4 in such matchups.
The Tigers managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are heading in with a 10-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 2-24. The Yankees have a 6-23 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 24th in home runs, Detroit has hit 53 this season. New York ranks second with 89 home runs.
New York and Detroit both rank in the top five of the league in hits. New York sits at fifth with 8.69 hits per game and Detroit ranks second with 9.31.
New York and Detroit both rank in the top five of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at third with an OPS of .751 and Detroit ranks fifth with an OPS of .739.
The Tigers are 12-25 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 19-24 when they allow at least one homer.