In the last of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (33-35) and the San Diego Padres (33-35) at Chase Field, Jeremy Hellickson (4-4, 5.10 ERA) and Andrew Cashner (2-8, 4.24 ERA) get the start. The Padres won the last game 8-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 21 and will air on FSN-SD and FSN-AZ.
In his most recent outing, Hellickson pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out six and walking one in a 4-1 loss to the Angels. Paul Goldschmidt (.358, 50 Rs, 19 HRs, 55 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Diamondbacks, Cashner is 3-4 with a 3.03 ERA. He meets a strong Arizona offense that's batting .262. Wil Myers (.277, 30 Rs, 5 HRs, 19 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an SU record of 17-15 against teams in their division. Arizona has averaged 3.2 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.5. The Diamondbacks have the most prolific offense in the entire NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are a stellar hitting team with an NL-best 9.3 hits per game. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking second in all of baseball with 60 steals. The most recent 10 game stretch for Arizona's pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Arizona's opponents are averaging 3.0 runs per game, below their season average of 4.4.
Against fellow NL West members, the Padres are 17-17 SU. The Padres rank fourth in the NL in road scoring, averaging four runs per game. The Padres average 3.0 walks per road game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL when they travel. San Diego's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 3.7 runs per game against teams from the NL West, lower than their season average of 4.6. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 7.9 strikeouts per road game.
The Padres have gotten the better of the Diamondbacks in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-4. This game will feature Cashner (RHP) on the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 25-25 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Hellickson will take the mound against the Padres, who have a 25-30 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
The Diamondbacks hold a 17-16 record this season against teams in the NL West Division. The Padres' record in these matchups is 18-17.
When the Padres play into extra innings, they have a 4-3 record. The Diamondbacks are 4-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 6-11 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 21-7. The Padres have a 24-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Arizona and San Diego both rank in the top 10 of the league in runs. Arizona sits at eighth with 300 runs this season and San Diego ranks ninth with 299.
Ranking 20th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 187 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 14th with 205.
When the Diamondbacks hit at least one home run, they are 23-13, well-matched with the Padres who are 23-12 when hitting one or more homers.