Michael Pineda (8-3, 3.54 ERA) and the New York Yankees (38-31) meet Kevin Correia (0-1, 1.69 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (24-47) in the first of a three-game interleague series at Yankee Stadium. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 22 and will air on CSN-PHI and PIX11.
In his last start, Pineda pitched 6.2 innings, giving up one run, striking out nine and walking two in a 2-1 victory over the Marlins. Alex Rodriguez (.282, 40 Rs, 14 HRs, 40 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Yankees, Correia is 0-0 with a 1.35 ERA. He meets a solid New York offense that's batting .255. Ben Revere (.282, 34 Rs, 17 RBIs, 17 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Phillies, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
New York is a considerable -278 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Yankees perform well as a favorite with a 22-14 record and have an overall money line of +474. They have an SU record of 5-6 against the NL and a 5-3 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Yankees have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.7 runs per game. The Yankees are an exceptional hitting team with 8.8 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the AL. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the AL with an average of 3.2 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Yankees don't give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking second in the AL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Phillies come into this game with a weak win percentage of .323 when playing as the underdog (20-42) and an overall money line of -1,961. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 1-9 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-9 record. The Phillies will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Philadelphia's run production has dropped to 1.9 runs per game, compared to 4.7 for the duration of the season. Philadelphia's pitching staff has allowed an average of 6.3 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.9.
This game will feature Correia (RHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 29-23 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Phillies will be the right-hander Pineda. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport records of 6-22 on the road and 19-37 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Under
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 17-20, while Philadelphia is 11-23.
The Yankees are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Phillies have a record of 3-12 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 7-36. The Yankees have a 6-24 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 42 this season. New York ranks second with 92 home runs.
Ranking 15th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.91 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.82.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.639). New York ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .752.
The Phillies are 9-33 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 19-25 when they allow at least one homer.