Trevor Bauer (6-3, 3.22 ERA) and Kyle Ryan (1-1, 3.26 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (32-36) and the Detroit Tigers (35-34) at Progressive Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 22 and can be seen on FSN-DET and STO.
Bauer is 2-0 with a 4.34 ERA in his appearances against the Tigers, and goes up against a quality Detroit offense which is batting .273 this season. Jason Kipnis (.345, 46 Rs, 5 HRs, 28 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Ryan went 6.1 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-2 defeat to the Reds in his most recent start. Miguel Cabrera (.346, 40 Rs, 15 HRs, 51 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Tigers, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs.
Cleveland is a -139 favorite against Detroit and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,356 and a record as the favorite of 20-25. Cleveland has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 7-13 and 13-20 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Indians have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Cleveland's batters do not strike out very often, with only 6.8 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Detroit has a 12-16 record and an overall money line of -316. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Tigers have really picked up the pace in division games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 5.0 in those contests. The Tigers are tough outs for opponents, ranking second in the AL with 9.1 hits per road game. The Tigers are an excellent base stealing team with 52 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Tigers average 4.3 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the AL Central is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.8 against division foes.
The Tigers have controlled the season series, 7-2. The Indians have an 11-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Ryan takes the mound. Bauer (RHP) will be on the hill against the Tigers, who have a 24-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The Tigers sit at 22-12 against the division, while the Indians are 13-20
Cleveland has won 48% (11-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 55% (17-14) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Indians are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Tigers have a 19-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 2-24. The Indians have a 6-28 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, Cleveland ranks 24th with 55 homers and Detroit is 21st with 58.
Ranking eighth, Cleveland is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.45 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at second with 9.28.
Ranking 17th, Cleveland is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .746.
When the Tigers allow at least one home run, they are 13-25. When the Indians allow one or more homers, they have a 21-28 record.