Tommy Milone (3-1, 3.67 ERA) and John Danks (3-7, 5.16 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (37-32) and the Chicago White Sox (30-38) at Target Field. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 22 and can be seen on CSN-CHI, FSN-N and ESPN 2.
Milone is 2-0 with a 1.39 ERA in his appearances against the White Sox, and goes up against a below-average Chicago offense which is batting just .237 this season. Brian Dozier (.259, 54 Rs, 13 HRs, 32 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. When pitching against the Twins, Danks is 7-14 with a 5.67 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, and 104 strikeouts. Jose Abreu (.288, 36 Rs, 12 HRs, 40 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the White Sox, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Minnesota is a -132 favorite against Chicago and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +1,298 and a record as the favorite of 6-7. Minnesota has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Twins are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.3 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of -1,207 and a disappointing record of 12-24 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-6 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the White Sox have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.4 runs per game by averaging 2.2 during that stretch. Chicago is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.2 per game, ranking fifth in the AL.
The Twins have controlled the season series, 7-3. The Twins have a 16-10 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Danks takes the mound. Milone (LHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 5-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Under
The White Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL Central Division at 13-21, and the Twins have a 16-18 record.
Minnesota has won 42% (10-14) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 50% (13-13) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Twins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The White Sox have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
It looks like the White Sox have a slight leg up on the Twins, as the White Sox have won their last two games while the Twins have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the White Sox are 22-5. The Twins have a 25-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Chicago sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 232 this season. Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 280.
Minnesota and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Minnesota sits at 24th with 167 this season and Chicago ranks 27th with 156.
When the Twins hit at least one home run, they are 27-11. When the White Sox hit at least one homer, they have a 17-17 record.