Joe Kelly (2-4, 5.32 ERA) and Ubaldo Jimenez (5-3, 3.27 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (31-40) and the Baltimore Orioles (36-33) at Fenway Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 23 and can be seen on MASN and NESN.
Kelly is 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA in his appearances against the Orioles, but goes up against a quality Baltimore offense which is batting .259 this season. Brock Holt (.318, 27 Rs, 2 HRs, 18 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game Sunday, going 3 for 5 with two runs and two RBIs. Jimenez is 1-3 with an 8.42 ERA against the Red Sox in his career. He takes on a good Boston offense that's batting .256. Manny Machado (.303, 48 Rs, 14 HRs, 38 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Orioles, going 3 for 5 Sunday with one run and two RBIs.
The odds for Boston and Baltimore are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available. Within its division, Boston has a record of 10-21 SU. The Red Sox have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. Boston is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game. Boston's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 5.7 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 4.7 season average.
The Orioles are 22-19 against AL East rivals. Offensively, they average 4.6 runs per game, which is good for third in the AL. Baltimore's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL, with a 3.74 ERA.
The Orioles have controlled the season series, 7-3. The Red Sox have a 23-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Jimenez takes the mound. Kelly (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 27-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 10-21, and the Orioles have a 22-19 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 17-11, while Boston is 15-17.
The Orioles are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 13 runs. The Red Sox have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 27-7. The Red Sox have a 27-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 15th, Boston is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 289 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 317.
Ranking 22nd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 174 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at fifth with 227.
When the Red Sox hit at least one home run, they are 23-23. When the Orioles hit at least one homer, they have a 29-16 record.