CC Sabathia (3-7, 5.31 ERA) and the New York Yankees (38-32) meet Sean O Sullivan (1-5, 4.79 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (25-47) in the second of a three-game interleague series at Yankee Stadium. The Phillies won the last game 11-8 and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 23 and will air on CSN-PHI and YES.
In his most recent outing, Sabathia pitched 6.0 innings, allowing three runs and striking out seven in a 9-4 loss to the Marlins. Brett Gardner (.290, 51 Rs, 8 HRs, 36 RBIs, 15 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 4 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. In his career against the Yankees, O Sullivan is 2-2 with a 5.87 ERA. He meets a strong New York offense that's batting .257. Ben Revere (.287, 36 Rs, 18 RBIs, 18 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Phillies, going 3 for 6 yesterday with two runs, one RBI, and one stolen base.
New York is a heavy -244 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Yankees have a 22-15 record and overall money line at +326. They have an SU record of 5-6 against the NL and a 5-3 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Yankees have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.7 runs per game. The Yankees rank fifth in the AL in hits with 8.8 per game. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the AL with an average of 3.2 walks per game. New York's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 5.9 during that span, compared to its 4.3 season average. The Yankees are fourth in the AL in walks allowed with just 2.7 per game.
On the other side, the Phillies have a subpar record of 21-42 when they are the underdog and are -1,785 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 2-8 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 2-8 record. When it comes to scoring runs, the Phillies haven't performed as well against teams from the AL. During those games, they averaged two runs per game, below their 3.1 season average. Philadelphia's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play AL opponents. They've allowed an average of 6.6 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.8.
The only other game between the two teams went Philadelphia's way. This game will feature O Sullivan (RHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 29-24 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Sabathia will take the mound against the Phillies. Against lefty starters this season, they have a terrible 4-10 record overall and 1-6 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Under
Philadelphia has won 34% (12-23) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 45% (17-21) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Phillies have a 4-18 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Phillies have a slight leg up on the Yankees, as the Phillies have won their last two games while the Yankees have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 16-7. The Yankees have a 26-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 231 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 334.
Ranking 26th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 160 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 225.
When the Yankees hit at least one home run, they are 32-19. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 15-18 record.