Mike Pelfrey (5-3, 2.97 ERA) and Jeff Samardzija (4-4, 4.67 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (38-32) and the Chicago White Sox (30-39) at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 13-2 and Minnesota leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 23 and can be seen on WPWR and FSN-N.
Pelfrey is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA in his appearances against the White Sox, but goes up against a below-average Chicago offense which is batting just .238 this season. Brian Dozier (.261, 55 Rs, 14 HRs, 35 RBIs, 6 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one home run, three RBIs, and one stolen base. When pitching against the Twins, Samardzija is 2-1 with a 5.84 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 21 strikeouts. Jose Abreu (.290, 37 Rs, 12 HRs, 40 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the White Sox, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Minnesota is a narrow -115 favorite at home against Chicago. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +1,198 and a record as the favorite of 6-7. Minnesota has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Twins have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Twins are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.4 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of -1,107 and a disappointing record of 12-24 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-6 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the White Sox have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.4 runs per game by averaging 2.1 during that stretch. Chicago is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.2 per game, ranking fifth in the AL. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the White Sox have the fifth-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game.
The Twins have controlled the season series, 8-3. The Twins have a 21-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Samardzija takes the mound. Pelfrey (RHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 25-30 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Over
The White Sox are struggling at 13-22 in their division, while the Twins sit at 17-18.
Chicago recorded at least two errors for the 13th time this season.
When the White Sox play into extra innings, they have a 5-2 record. The Twins are 3-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The White Sox are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have an 18-25 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the White Sox are 22-5. The Twins have a 26-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Chicago sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 234 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top half at 14th with 293.
Minnesota and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Minnesota sits at 23rd with 169 this season and Chicago ranks 26th with 160.
The Twins are 28-11 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The White Sox are 17-17 when they hit at least one homer.