Mike Montgomery (1-2, 2.73 ERA) starts for the Seattle Mariners (32-39) as they square off against Jeremy Guthrie (5-4, 5.55 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (40-27) in the second of a three-game series at Safeco Field. The Royals won the last game 4-1 and Kansas City leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 23 and can be seen on FSN-KC, ROOT-NW and MLB Net.
Montgomery pitched 7.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out one and walking two in a 7-0 defeat to the Giants. Guthrie is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA when pitching against the Mariners. He takes on a below-average Seattle offense which is hitting just .230 this season. Lorenzo Cain (.294, 41 Rs, 6 HRs, 32 RBIs, 14 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Royals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
Seattle is a slim -110 favorite at home against Kansas City. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Mariners have an overall money line of -1,067 and a record as the favorite of 19-24. Seattle is a disappointing 1-4 as the favorite over its last 10 games.
In games where it is the underdog, Kansas City has a 15-12 record and an overall money line of +1,002. Kansas City is excellent at not striking out with an AL-low 5.7 per game. Kansas City's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL, with a 3.55 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Royals are fourth in the AL with an average of 8.0 hits allowed per game.
The Royals have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Mariners have a 25-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Guthrie takes the mound. Montgomery (LHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a 10-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Under
Seattle has won 50% (10-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won 69% (18-8) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mariners are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Royals have a 14-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 2-22. The Mariners have an 11-23 record when opponents outhit them.
Kansas City ranks near the bottom of the league at 27th when it comes to home runs, hitting 51 this season. Seattle ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 72.
Ranking 15th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.76 per game. Kansas City ranks in the top five at second with 9.36.
Ranking 28th, Seattle is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.665). Kansas City ranks in the top 10 at eighth with an OPS of .735.
When the Royals allow at least one home run, they are 18-19. When the Mariners allow one or more homers, they have a 13-32 record.