Carlos Carrasco (8-6, 4.35 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians (32-38) meet Buck Farmer (0-1, 12.60 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (37-34) in the last of a three-game division series at Progressive Field. The Tigers won the last game 7-3 and Detroit leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 12:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 24 and will air on FSN-DET and STO.
Carrasco is 3-6 with a 6.93 ERA against the Tigers in his career, and faces a strong Detroit offense that's hitting .274 on the year. Jason Kipnis (.354, 47 Rs, 5 HRs, 31 RBIs, 10 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 4 for 5 with one RBI. Farmer will make the start for Justin Verlander, who was scratched with back tightness. Miguel Cabrera (.351, 42 Rs, 15 HRs, 52 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Tigers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Cleveland, a -133 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Detroit. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Indians have a 21-26 record and overall money line at -1,394. They have not performed well against their division, earning an SU record of 13-21 and a 7-14 record when they were the favorite. Cleveland has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Cleveland has only averaged 2.4 runs per game compared to the 4.0 they've averaged on the season. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking fourth in the AL with an average of only 6.7 strikeouts per game. As for the pitching staff, they have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, leading the AL with 9.3 strikeouts per game.
On the other side, the Tigers have a record of 14-16 when they are the underdog and are -50 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 23-12 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 7-6 record. They sport the fourth-ranked offense in the AL, averaging four runs per game. Detroit is the top hitting team in the AL with an average of 9.4 hits per contest. Detroit is a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in the MLB with 52 stolen bases. Detroit's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 3.9 runs per game against teams from the AL Central, lower than their season average of 4.3.
The Tigers have gotten the best of the Indians in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-2. This game will feature Verlander (RHP) on the mound against the Indians, who have a 21-21 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Carrasco will take the mound against the Tigers, who have a 26-28 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The Tigers sit at 24-12 against the division, while the Indians are 13-22
When the Tigers play into extra innings, they have a 3-3 record. The Indians are 1-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Tigers are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Indians have a 1-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 3-24. The Indians have a 6-29 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Cleveland has hit 57 this season. Detroit ranks 19th with 60 home runs.
Detroit tops the league in hits with 9.41 per game this season. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.38.
Ranking 17th, Cleveland is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.713). Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .749.
The Tigers are 14-25 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Indians are 21-30 when they allow at least one homer.