Clay Buchholz (4-6, 3.87 ERA) and Bud Norris (2-5, 7.57 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (31-41) and the Baltimore Orioles (37-33) at Fenway Park. The Orioles won the last game 6-4 and Baltimore leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 24 and can be seen on MASN and NESN.
Buchholz is 9-5 with a 3.81 ERA in his appearances against the Orioles, and goes up against a quality Baltimore offense which is batting .260 this season. Hanley Ramirez (.277, 41 Rs, 15 HRs, 38 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. Norris is 2-2 with a 3.52 ERA against the Red Sox in his career. He is up against a good Boston offense that's batting .255. Manny Machado (.305, 48 Rs, 14 HRs, 39 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Orioles, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Boston is a -141 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -1,648 and a record as the favorite of 20-26. Boston has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 6-13 and 10-21 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Red Sox have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. Boston is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game. Boston's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 5.7 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 4.7 season average.
In games where it is the underdog, Baltimore has a 14-19 record and an overall money line of +269. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.6 runs per game, which is good for third in the AL. Baltimore's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL, with a 3.74 ERA.
The Orioles have controlled the season series, 8-3. The Red Sox have a 23-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Norris takes the mound. Buchholz (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 27-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 10-22, and the Orioles have a 23-19 record.
The Red Sox are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Orioles have a record of 11-6 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-34. The Orioles have a 5-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 13th in home runs, Boston has hit 68 this season. Baltimore ranks fifth with 85 home runs.
Boston and Baltimore both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Boston sits at sixth with 8.79 hits per game and Baltimore ranks seventh with 8.68.
Ranking 14th, Boston is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.718). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .740.
The Orioles are 20-22 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Red Sox are 12-32 when they allow at least one homer.