Jimmy Nelson (3-8, 4.64 ERA) and Bartolo Colon (9-5, 4.81 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (26-46) and the New York Mets (36-36) at Miller Park. The Mets lost the last game 3-2, continuing a six-game losing streak. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 24 and can be seen on SNY and FSN-WI.
Nelson is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA in his appearances against the Mets, and goes up against a below-average New York offense which is batting just .238 this season. Adam Lind (.279, 26 Rs, 10 HRs, 35 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Colon is 3-2 with a 4.62 ERA when pitching against the Brewers. He takes on a below-average Milwaukee offense which is hitting just .238 this season. Lucas Duda (.268, 37 Rs, 10 HRs, 30 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Milwaukee is a -122 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,954 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 6-16. Milwaukee has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. Milwaukee's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.3 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.9.
Over in the other dugout, New York is coming in with an overall money line of -163 and a disappointing record of 6-23 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-2 record when playing as the underdog. New York's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.63 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Mets are second in the NL on the road with an average of 7.9 hits allowed per away game.
The Brewers have a bad 9-20 record at home (18-38 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Colon takes the mound. Nelson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 30-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Mets lost by a margin of one run. The Brewers are 8-8 in one-run games. The Mets have a 13-12 record in close games.
The Mets are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 2-2 in such matchups.
The Mets managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 6-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 19-4. The Mets have a 23-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Both Milwaukee and New York are tied at 26th in runs, each scoring 262 this season.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 162 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 190.
The Brewers are 21-16 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mets are 23-13 when they hit at least one homer.