Ryan Vogelsong (5-5, 4.38 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (38-34) meet Ian Kennedy (4-5, 5.43 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (35-38) in the second of a three-game division series at AT&T Park. The Padres won the last game 3-2 and San Diego leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 10:15 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 24 and will air on FSN-SD and CSN-BAY.
Vogelsong is 5-6 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.54 WHIP against the Padres in his career. In his pitching opportunities against the Giants, Kennedy is 10-4 with a 2.42 ERA. He gets a strong San Francisco offense that's batting .266. Justin Upton (.270, 42 Rs, 13 HRs, 43 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
San Francisco is a -134 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Giants have a 16-20 record and overall money line at +236. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-4. Division games have been tough for the Giants. San Francisco has only averaged 3.4 runs per game compared to its 4.1 season average.
Across the field, the Padres have a subpar record of 15-23 when they are the underdog and are -431 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 18-18 SU and 8-13 as the underdog. During the last 10 games, they averaged 3.0 runs per game, below their 4.2 season average. Playing against NL West foes really brings the best out of the San Diego pitchers. They allow 3.8 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 4.6.
The Padres have gotten the better of the Giants in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-3. The Giants will take on a right-hander (Kennedy) in this game and have a 28-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Vogelsong will take the mound against the Padres, who have a 26-31 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
San Diego is 2-6-1 SU in its last 9 games,.
San Diego is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games, on the road.
San Diego is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games, when playing on the road against San Francisco.
San Francisco 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego.
The Padres won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Giants are 11-9. The Padres are 9-11 in close games this season.
When the Padres play into extra innings, they have a 5-3 record. The Giants are 3-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Padres managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are heading in with a 3-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 25-7. The Giants have a 33-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 17th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 291 this season. San Diego ranks in the top half at 11th with 304.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 189 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 15th with 210.
The Giants are 26-11 when they hit at least one home run. The Padres perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 23-12 record.