Alfredo Simon (7-4, 3.29 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (37-35) meet Carlos Rodon (3-1, 3.75 ERA) and the Chicago White Sox (31-40) in the first of a four-game division series at Comerica Park. The game gets underway at 1:08 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 25 and will air on WGN and FSN-DET.
Simon has a 4.15 ERA and a 2-0 record in his career against the White Sox, and faces a less-than-stellar Chicago offense that's hitting just .240 on the year. Miguel Cabrera (.351, 42 Rs, 15 HRs, 52 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. The White Sox were victorious the last time Rodon pitched. He pitched well, going, going 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out five and walking three in a 3-2 victory over the Rangers. Adam LaRoche (.237, 27 Rs, 9 HRs, 28 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Detroit is a -137 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Tigers are 22-18 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +53. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 24-12 and a 16-6 record when they were the favorite. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Tigers has gone great. Over that span, Detroit is averaging 5.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.3. The Tigers are a stellar hitting team with an AL-best 9.4 hits per game. The Tigers are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 53 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Whenever an AL Central opponent shows up on the calendar, the Tigers pitch better. They allow an average of 4.3 runs per game, but allow just 3.8 against teams from their own division. The Tigers don't give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking second in the AL with only 2.6 walks allowed per game.
Switching gears, the White Sox come into this game with a weak win percentage of .324 when playing as the underdog (12-25) and an overall money line of -1,107. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-5 record and 3-7 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.0 runs per game, below their 3.4 season average. The White Sox average just 7.0 strikeouts per road game, one of the lowest marks in the AL.
The Tigers have gotten the best of the White Sox in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-4. This game will feature Rodon (LHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 10-6 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Simon will take the mound against the White Sox, who have a 26-30 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The Tigers sit at 24-13 against the division, while the White Sox are struggling at 14-23.
When leading after 7 innings, Detroit is 17-14, while Chicago is 14-14.
The Tigers are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 11 strikeouts. The White Sox have a record of 3-9 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 3-25. The White Sox have a 6-32 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, Chicago has hit 49 this season. Detroit ranks 19th with 61 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.41 per game this season. Chicago ranks 12th with 8.14 hits.
Ranking 30th, Chicago is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.644). Detroit ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .746.
The White Sox are 16-27 when they allow at least one home run. The Tigers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 14-26 record.