In the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (27-46) and the New York Mets (27-46) at Miller Park, Taylor Jungmann (2-1, 3.50 ERA) and Jacob deGrom (7-5, 2.34 ERA) get the ball. The Mets lost the last game 4-1, extending a seven-game losing streak. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 25 and will air on SNY and MLB Network.
In his most recent outing, Jungmann pitched 6.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out four and walking one in a 9-5 victory over the Rockies. Ryan Braun (.254, 39 Rs, 14 HRs, 45 RBIs, 7 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Brewers, deGrom is 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Milwaukee offense that's batting just .238. Curtis Granderson (.242, 40 Rs, 11 HRs, 23 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Milwaukee, a +122 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Brewers have a losing record of 19-30 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,854. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (1-7). Milwaukee's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.1 during that span, compared to its 4.8 season average. An area where the Brewers are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average 8.9 K's per home game.
On the other side, the Mets have a nice record of 30-12 when they are favored, but are -263 overall with the money line. They have the fifth-lowest ERA in the NL at 3.62. They also allow just 7.9 hits per road game, good for tops in the NL.
The Brewers are 3-2 against the Mets this season. The Brewers will take on a right-hander (deGrom) in this game. They have done very poorly against right-handed starting pitchers this season (18-38), especially at home where they have a 9-20 record. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Jungmann. They sport a 30-30 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 16-15, while Milwaukee is 13-17.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have an 8-14 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
The Brewers are coming into the game with two consecutive wins, while the Mets currently have a losing streak of seven.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 20-4. The Mets have a 23-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, Milwaukee ranks 26th with 266 runs and New York is 27th with 263.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 164 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 191.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 22-16. When the Mets hit at least one homer, they have a 23-14 record.